Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional models point to a highest temperature of 24–26 °C in Mexico City on August 26, driven by persistent mid-level cloud cover, scattered showers and thunderstorms (40–50 % probability), and moderate northerly winds that limit daytime heating at the city’s 2 240 m elevation. These conditions align with the broader influence of the Mexican monsoon and nearby tropical waves, which have produced above-average rainfall and suppressed insolation through late August. Historical August maxima average near 22–25 °C, so the current pattern is keeping readings close to or slightly above normal rather than allowing the clearer, warmer conditions needed for 27 °C or higher. Trader consensus on 24–25 °C as the top outcomes therefore tracks the latest model consensus and official outlooks issued on the morning of the 26th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
8月26日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
25℃ 47%
24°C 30%
26°C 18%
23℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
18°C以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20℃
<1%
21℃
1%
22°C
3%
23℃
7%
24°C
30%
25℃
47%
26°C
18%
27°C
1%
28℃以上
<1%
25℃ 47%
24°C 30%
26°C 18%
23℃ 7%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
18°C以下
$358 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$138 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$134 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$102 Vol.
1%
22°C
$299 Vol.
3%
23℃
$379 Vol.
7%
24°C
$1,742 Vol.
30%
25℃
$2,207 Vol.
47%
26°C
$398 Vol.
18%
27°C
$294 Vol.
1%
28℃以上
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional models point to a highest temperature of 24–26 °C in Mexico City on August 26, driven by persistent mid-level cloud cover, scattered showers and thunderstorms (40–50 % probability), and moderate northerly winds that limit daytime heating at the city’s 2 240 m elevation. These conditions align with the broader influence of the Mexican monsoon and nearby tropical waves, which have produced above-average rainfall and suppressed insolation through late August. Historical August maxima average near 22–25 °C, so the current pattern is keeping readings close to or slightly above normal rather than allowing the clearer, warmer conditions needed for 27 °C or higher. Trader consensus on 24–25 °C as the top outcomes therefore tracks the latest model consensus and official outlooks issued on the morning of the 26th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
音量
$6,294終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional models point to a highest temperature of 24–26 °C in Mexico City on August 26, driven by persistent mid-level cloud cover, scattered showers and thunderstorms (40–50 % probability), and moderate northerly winds that limit daytime heating at the city’s 2 240 m elevation. These conditions align with the broader influence of the Mexican monsoon and nearby tropical waves, which have produced above-average rainfall and suppressed insolation through late August. Historical August maxima average near 22–25 °C, so the current pattern is keeping readings close to or slightly above normal rather than allowing the clearer, warmer conditions needed for 27 °C or higher. Trader consensus on 24–25 °C as the top outcomes therefore tracks the latest model consensus and official outlooks issued on the morning of the 26th.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$6,294終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 8:57 PM ETRecent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and regional models point to a highest temperature of 24–26 °C in Mexico City on August 26, driven by persistent mid-level cloud cover, scattered showers and thunderstorms (40–50 % probability), and moderate northerly winds that limit daytime heating at the city’s 2 240 m elevation. These conditions align with the broader influence of the Mexican monsoon and nearby tropical waves, which have produced above-average rainfall and suppressed insolation through late August. Historical August maxima average near 22–25 °C, so the current pattern is keeping readings close to or slightly above normal rather than allowing the clearer, warmer conditions needed for 27 °C or higher. Trader consensus on 24–25 °C as the top outcomes therefore tracks the latest model consensus and official outlooks issued on the morning of the 26th.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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