Recent forecasts from models including GFS and Met Office guidance indicate a cooling trend for Paris on August 29, with a maximum temperature likely near the long-term average high of 24.1°C. A passing front and increased cloud cover are expected to limit daytime solar heating while southwest winds advect cooler maritime air, keeping highs in the 22–25°C range. Showers or light rain may further suppress peaks. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 22–24°C because short-range ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud breaks can shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August 29 extremes (15–34°C) underscore the role of transient synoptic patterns, but current conditions favor near-normal values with low odds of outlier warmth or chill. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のパリの最高気温は？
8月29日のパリの最高気温は？
23°C 65%
24°C 38%
22°C 26%
25°C or higher 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
8%
21°C
10%
22°C
26%
23°C
43%
24°C
38%
25°C or higher
13%
23°C 65%
24°C 38%
22°C 26%
25°C or higher 13%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
43%
24°C
$5 Vol.
38%
25°C or higher
$0 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and Met Office guidance indicate a cooling trend for Paris on August 29, with a maximum temperature likely near the long-term average high of 24.1°C. A passing front and increased cloud cover are expected to limit daytime solar heating while southwest winds advect cooler maritime air, keeping highs in the 22–25°C range. Showers or light rain may further suppress peaks. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 22–24°C because short-range ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud breaks can shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August 29 extremes (15–34°C) underscore the role of transient synoptic patterns, but current conditions favor near-normal values with low odds of outlier warmth or chill. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
音量
$5終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models including GFS and Met Office guidance indicate a cooling trend for Paris on August 29, with a maximum temperature likely near the long-term average high of 24.1°C. A passing front and increased cloud cover are expected to limit daytime solar heating while southwest winds advect cooler maritime air, keeping highs in the 22–25°C range. Showers or light rain may further suppress peaks. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 22–24°C because short-range ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud breaks can shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August 29 extremes (15–34°C) underscore the role of transient synoptic patterns, but current conditions favor near-normal values with low odds of outlier warmth or chill. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent forecasts from models including GFS and Met Office guidance indicate a cooling trend for Paris on August 29, with a maximum temperature likely near the long-term average high of 24.1°C. A passing front and increased cloud cover are expected to limit daytime solar heating while southwest winds advect cooler maritime air, keeping highs in the 22–25°C range. Showers or light rain may further suppress peaks. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 22–24°C because short-range ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in cloud breaks can shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical August 29 extremes (15–34°C) underscore the role of transient synoptic patterns, but current conditions favor near-normal values with low odds of outlier warmth or chill. Updated model runs and surface observations in the next 48 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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