Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 27 will most likely reach 31–33°C, aligning with late-summer subtropical patterns where daytime highs average near 32°C amid high humidity. Light rain or overcast conditions expected that day could suppress peak values slightly below mid-month extremes, while steering patterns favor stable warmth without significant frontal cooling. Model runs show tight clustering around these thresholds, with historical analogs from similar late-August periods confirming 31–32°C as the most frequent outcomes under comparable moisture and wind regimes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance heavily, as resolution depends on official station readings of the daily high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月27日の上海の最高気温は？
8月27日の上海の最高気温は？
32°C 50%
31°C 33%
33°C 11%
30°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
33%
32°C
50%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 50%
31°C 33%
33°C 11%
30°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/27
26°C or below
$355 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$457 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$421 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$961 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,015 Vol.
6%
31°C
$1,085 Vol.
33%
32°C
$1,757 Vol.
50%
33°C
$473 Vol.
11%
34°C
$244 Vol.
4%
35°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$408 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 27 will most likely reach 31–33°C, aligning with late-summer subtropical patterns where daytime highs average near 32°C amid high humidity. Light rain or overcast conditions expected that day could suppress peak values slightly below mid-month extremes, while steering patterns favor stable warmth without significant frontal cooling. Model runs show tight clustering around these thresholds, with historical analogs from similar late-August periods confirming 31–32°C as the most frequent outcomes under comparable moisture and wind regimes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance heavily, as resolution depends on official station readings of the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$7,236終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 27 will most likely reach 31–33°C, aligning with late-summer subtropical patterns where daytime highs average near 32°C amid high humidity. Light rain or overcast conditions expected that day could suppress peak values slightly below mid-month extremes, while steering patterns favor stable warmth without significant frontal cooling. Model runs show tight clustering around these thresholds, with historical analogs from similar late-August periods confirming 31–32°C as the most frequent outcomes under comparable moisture and wind regimes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance heavily, as resolution depends on official station readings of the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$7,236終了日
2026/08/27マーケット開始日
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on August 27 will most likely reach 31–33°C, aligning with late-summer subtropical patterns where daytime highs average near 32°C amid high humidity. Light rain or overcast conditions expected that day could suppress peak values slightly below mid-month extremes, while steering patterns favor stable warmth without significant frontal cooling. Model runs show tight clustering around these thresholds, with historical analogs from similar late-August periods confirming 31–32°C as the most frequent outcomes under comparable moisture and wind regimes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow uncertainty band in short-range guidance heavily, as resolution depends on official station readings of the daily high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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