Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate partly cloudy skies over Toronto on August 25 with northwest winds of 5–10 km/h moderating daytime heating, supporting a high near 23–25°C. This aligns with the historical average high of 25.4°C while reflecting cooler recent conditions and limited moisture return. Model consensus shows minimal diurnal range and low precipitation risk, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Trader-implied odds near 41% and 38% respectively capture residual uncertainty from small timing differences in clearing and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply outside 22–26°C given the stable synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のトロントの最高気温は?
24°C 41%
25°C 38%
23°C 10%
26°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
41%
25°C
38%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
25°C 38%
23°C 10%
26°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
10%
24°C
41%
25°C
38%
26°C
9%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models indicate partly cloudy skies over Toronto on August 25 with northwest winds of 5–10 km/h moderating daytime heating, supporting a high near 23–25°C. This aligns with the historical average high of 25.4°C while reflecting cooler recent conditions and limited moisture return. Model consensus shows minimal diurnal range and low precipitation risk, keeping the distribution tightly centered on 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Trader-implied odds near 41% and 38% respectively capture residual uncertainty from small timing differences in clearing and boundary-layer mixing, while probabilities drop sharply outside 22–26°C given the stable synoptic pattern.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問