**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Ankara's August 25 high temperature near 31–34 °C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow.** This positions 31 °C (49.5 % implied probability) and 32 °C (27.5 %) as the leading outcomes, with 30 °C (19.5 %) still plausible if daytime heating is slightly suppressed. Ankara’s continental climate at ~900 m elevation favors strong diurnal warming on sunny summer days with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show the city experiencing above-average warmth in late August, with highs reaching 34–35 °C on August 23 before a modest easing. Short-range guidance (including local Turkish Meteorological Service equivalents and international ensembles) consistently projects dry, sunny conditions through the 25th, with afternoon peaks clustered around 31–33 °C—aligning closely with historical late-August normals of ~29–32 °C but slightly elevated by the current pattern. Key variables that could shift probabilities include any late-model revision in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing; however, the 48-hour lead time and strong agreement across sources limit major surprises. Traders appear to be weighting the tight forecast cluster around 31–32 °C, reflecting both the expected maximum and the resolution thresholds for the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のアンカラの最高気温は？
8月25日のアンカラの最高気温は？
31°C 51%
32°C 26%
30°C 21%
29°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
21%
31°C
51%
32°C
26%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
2%
31°C 51%
32°C 26%
30°C 21%
29°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/08/25
26°C or below
$45 Vol.
1%
27°C
$38 Vol.
1%
28°C
$38 Vol.
1%
29°C
$92 Vol.
6%
30°C
$152 Vol.
21%
31°C
$237 Vol.
51%
32°C
$99 Vol.
26%
33°C
$93 Vol.
5%
34°C
$20 Vol.
1%
35°C
$5 Vol.
2%
36°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Ankara's August 25 high temperature near 31–34 °C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow.** This positions 31 °C (49.5 % implied probability) and 32 °C (27.5 %) as the leading outcomes, with 30 °C (19.5 %) still plausible if daytime heating is slightly suppressed.
Ankara’s continental climate at ~900 m elevation favors strong diurnal warming on sunny summer days with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show the city experiencing above-average warmth in late August, with highs reaching 34–35 °C on August 23 before a modest easing. Short-range guidance (including local Turkish Meteorological Service equivalents and international ensembles) consistently projects dry, sunny conditions through the 25th, with afternoon peaks clustered around 31–33 °C—aligning closely with historical late-August normals of ~29–32 °C but slightly elevated by the current pattern.
Key variables that could shift probabilities include any late-model revision in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing; however, the 48-hour lead time and strong agreement across sources limit major surprises. Traders appear to be weighting the tight forecast cluster around 31–32 °C, reflecting both the expected maximum and the resolution thresholds for the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$824終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Ankara's August 25 high temperature near 31–34 °C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow.** This positions 31 °C (49.5 % implied probability) and 32 °C (27.5 %) as the leading outcomes, with 30 °C (19.5 %) still plausible if daytime heating is slightly suppressed.
Ankara’s continental climate at ~900 m elevation favors strong diurnal warming on sunny summer days with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show the city experiencing above-average warmth in late August, with highs reaching 34–35 °C on August 23 before a modest easing. Short-range guidance (including local Turkish Meteorological Service equivalents and international ensembles) consistently projects dry, sunny conditions through the 25th, with afternoon peaks clustered around 31–33 °C—aligning closely with historical late-August normals of ~29–32 °C but slightly elevated by the current pattern.
Key variables that could shift probabilities include any late-model revision in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing; however, the 48-hour lead time and strong agreement across sources limit major surprises. Traders appear to be weighting the tight forecast cluster around 31–32 °C, reflecting both the expected maximum and the resolution thresholds for the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$824終了日
2026/08/25マーケット開始日
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple models places Ankara's August 25 high temperature near 31–34 °C under stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow.** This positions 31 °C (49.5 % implied probability) and 32 °C (27.5 %) as the leading outcomes, with 30 °C (19.5 %) still plausible if daytime heating is slightly suppressed. Ankara’s continental climate at ~900 m elevation favors strong diurnal warming on sunny summer days with low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent observations show the city experiencing above-average warmth in late August, with highs reaching 34–35 °C on August 23 before a modest easing. Short-range guidance (including local Turkish Meteorological Service equivalents and international ensembles) consistently projects dry, sunny conditions through the 25th, with afternoon peaks clustered around 31–33 °C—aligning closely with historical late-August normals of ~29–32 °C but slightly elevated by the current pattern. Key variables that could shift probabilities include any late-model revision in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing; however, the 48-hour lead time and strong agreement across sources limit major surprises. Traders appear to be weighting the tight forecast cluster around 31–32 °C, reflecting both the expected maximum and the resolution thresholds for the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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