Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project Ankara's peak temperature on August 23 near 34–36 °C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime radiative heating over the Anatolian plateau. This keeps 35 °C and 34 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface albedo, or slight model spread in maximum values can shift the recorded high across the threshold. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima around 32 °C, but current drier, warmer-than-average conditions support the elevated outlook, with resolution depending on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のアンカラの最高気温は?
35°C 43%
34°C 41%
33°C 9%
36°C 6%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
41%
35°C
43%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 43%
34°C 41%
33°C 9%
36°C 6%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
9%
34°C
41%
35°C
43%
36°C
6%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies project Ankara's peak temperature on August 23 near 34–36 °C under clear skies and light northwesterly flow, with minimal cloud cover allowing strong daytime radiative heating over the Anatolian plateau. This keeps 35 °C and 34 °C nearly tied in market-implied odds, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing, surface albedo, or slight model spread in maximum values can shift the recorded high across the threshold. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima around 32 °C, but current drier, warmer-than-average conditions support the elevated outlook, with resolution depending on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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