**Recent model consensus points to a high of 19–22°C in Warsaw on August 29, 2026, with showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating after several warmer, sunnier days.** Multiple forecasts from sources including Worldmeteo, Met Office, and global ensembles show a transition from high-pressure conditions on the 27th–28th (highs near 25–27°C under mostly clear skies) to a frontal passage or low-pressure influence by Saturday, bringing southeasterly to southwesterly winds, 40–65% rain probability, and 2–6 mm of precipitation that should suppress peak temperatures. **Key scientific factors differentiating the closely matched 17–21°C outcomes include the exact timing and coverage of showers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, along with boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that affect mixing.** Warmer scenarios (near 21°C) assume limited or late-day rain allowing brief insolation peaks, while cooler ones (17–18°C) align with more persistent cloud decks or earlier precipitation. Ensemble spreads and local model runs reflect this uncertainty, with traders weighting official guidance from European centers on the strength of the incoming system and its impact on the daily temperature maximum. Updated short-range forecasts and radar trends in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
8月29日のワルシャワの最高気温は？
19°C 23%
21°C 21%
20°C 19%
18°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
18%
19°C
23%
20°C
19%
21°C
21%
22°C
18%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C or higher
1%
19°C 23%
21°C 21%
20°C 19%
18°C 18%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$0 Vol.
18%
19°C
$0 Vol.
23%
20°C
$0 Vol.
19%
21°C
$0 Vol.
21%
22°C
$11 Vol.
18%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$0 Vol.
7%
25°C or higher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a high of 19–22°C in Warsaw on August 29, 2026, with showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating after several warmer, sunnier days.** Multiple forecasts from sources including Worldmeteo, Met Office, and global ensembles show a transition from high-pressure conditions on the 27th–28th (highs near 25–27°C under mostly clear skies) to a frontal passage or low-pressure influence by Saturday, bringing southeasterly to southwesterly winds, 40–65% rain probability, and 2–6 mm of precipitation that should suppress peak temperatures.
**Key scientific factors differentiating the closely matched 17–21°C outcomes include the exact timing and coverage of showers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, along with boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that affect mixing.** Warmer scenarios (near 21°C) assume limited or late-day rain allowing brief insolation peaks, while cooler ones (17–18°C) align with more persistent cloud decks or earlier precipitation. Ensemble spreads and local model runs reflect this uncertainty, with traders weighting official guidance from European centers on the strength of the incoming system and its impact on the daily temperature maximum. Updated short-range forecasts and radar trends in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$22終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus points to a high of 19–22°C in Warsaw on August 29, 2026, with showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating after several warmer, sunnier days.** Multiple forecasts from sources including Worldmeteo, Met Office, and global ensembles show a transition from high-pressure conditions on the 27th–28th (highs near 25–27°C under mostly clear skies) to a frontal passage or low-pressure influence by Saturday, bringing southeasterly to southwesterly winds, 40–65% rain probability, and 2–6 mm of precipitation that should suppress peak temperatures.
**Key scientific factors differentiating the closely matched 17–21°C outcomes include the exact timing and coverage of showers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, along with boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that affect mixing.** Warmer scenarios (near 21°C) assume limited or late-day rain allowing brief insolation peaks, while cooler ones (17–18°C) align with more persistent cloud decks or earlier precipitation. Ensemble spreads and local model runs reflect this uncertainty, with traders weighting official guidance from European centers on the strength of the incoming system and its impact on the daily temperature maximum. Updated short-range forecasts and radar trends in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$22終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Recent model consensus points to a high of 19–22°C in Warsaw on August 29, 2026, with showers and increased cloud cover expected to limit daytime heating after several warmer, sunnier days.** Multiple forecasts from sources including Worldmeteo, Met Office, and global ensembles show a transition from high-pressure conditions on the 27th–28th (highs near 25–27°C under mostly clear skies) to a frontal passage or low-pressure influence by Saturday, bringing southeasterly to southwesterly winds, 40–65% rain probability, and 2–6 mm of precipitation that should suppress peak temperatures. **Key scientific factors differentiating the closely matched 17–21°C outcomes include the exact timing and coverage of showers, which reduce incoming solar radiation and evaporative cooling, along with boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that affect mixing.** Warmer scenarios (near 21°C) assume limited or late-day rain allowing brief insolation peaks, while cooler ones (17–18°C) align with more persistent cloud decks or earlier precipitation. Ensemble spreads and local model runs reflect this uncertainty, with traders weighting official guidance from European centers on the strength of the incoming system and its impact on the daily temperature maximum. Updated short-range forecasts and radar trends in the next 24–48 hours will be the primary drivers of any shifts in these market-implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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