With leading probabilities split closely between 15°C and 13°C, trader sentiment reflects divergence among numerical weather prediction models for Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 29. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, which can produce several degrees of difference depending on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal baselines for late-August minima hover near 14–16°C, but short-term forecast updates from official agencies may narrow the range before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this genuine scientific uncertainty in steering patterns and local microclimate effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
8月29日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
15°C 45%
13°C 41%
21°C or higher 28%
16°C 28%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
11°C or below
2%
12°C
8%
13°C
41%
14°C
11%
15°C
45%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
11%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
28%
15°C 45%
13°C 41%
21°C or higher 28%
16°C 28%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
11°C or below
$121 Vol.
2%
12°C
$5 Vol.
8%
13°C
$6 Vol.
41%
14°C
$0 Vol.
11%
15°C
$0 Vol.
45%
16°C
$0 Vol.
28%
17°C
$0 Vol.
28%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$10 Vol.
2%
20°C
$5 Vol.
8%
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.With leading probabilities split closely between 15°C and 13°C, trader sentiment reflects divergence among numerical weather prediction models for Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 29. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, which can produce several degrees of difference depending on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal baselines for late-August minima hover near 14–16°C, but short-term forecast updates from official agencies may narrow the range before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this genuine scientific uncertainty in steering patterns and local microclimate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$152終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.With leading probabilities split closely between 15°C and 13°C, trader sentiment reflects divergence among numerical weather prediction models for Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 29. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, which can produce several degrees of difference depending on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal baselines for late-August minima hover near 14–16°C, but short-term forecast updates from official agencies may narrow the range before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this genuine scientific uncertainty in steering patterns and local microclimate effects.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$152終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETWith leading probabilities split closely between 15°C and 13°C, trader sentiment reflects divergence among numerical weather prediction models for Warsaw's overnight minimum on August 29. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System show variable radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions with light winds, which can produce several degrees of difference depending on cloud cover timing and boundary-layer moisture. Seasonal baselines for late-August minima hover near 14–16°C, but short-term forecast updates from official agencies may narrow the range before resolution. Market-implied odds capture this genuine scientific uncertainty in steering patterns and local microclimate effects.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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