Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 30 indicate highs near 31–34°C amid increasing cloud cover and precipitation linked to peripheral influences from typhoon activity farther south. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to daytime maxima tempered by northerly winds, high humidity, and scattered to moderate rain that limits surface heating compared with the prior hot spell exceeding 36°C. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rain timing and intensity, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C across short-range updates. New ECMWF and GFS runs plus official 24-hour briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の武漢の最高気温は?
32°C 26%
33°C 20%
31°C 15%
34°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
15%
32°C
26%
33°C
32%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
10%
32°C 26%
33°C 20%
31°C 15%
34°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
6%
31°C
15%
32°C
26%
33°C
32%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan on August 30 indicate highs near 31–34°C amid increasing cloud cover and precipitation linked to peripheral influences from typhoon activity farther south. Model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to daytime maxima tempered by northerly winds, high humidity, and scattered to moderate rain that limits surface heating compared with the prior hot spell exceeding 36°C. Trader emphasis on 32–33°C outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rain timing and intensity, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2°C across short-range updates. New ECMWF and GFS runs plus official 24-hour briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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