Current forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak near 30°C in Milan on August 30 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C. Late-summer radiative heating peaks midday with minimal cloud cover expected to limit afternoon suppression, while the Po Valley's typical subsidence and urban heat island effects add 1–2°C locally. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speeds create the narrow uncertainty band around these values, with 31°C possible only under slightly stronger insolation. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のミラノの最高気温は？
8月30日のミラノの最高気温は？
30°C 44%
29°C 36%
31°C 17%
32°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
7%
29°C
36%
30°C
44%
31°C
17%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
8%
30°C 44%
29°C 36%
31°C 17%
32°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
6%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$4 Vol.
7%
29°C
$133 Vol.
36%
30°C
$91 Vol.
44%
31°C
$5 Vol.
17%
32°C
$0 Vol.
9%
33°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak near 30°C in Milan on August 30 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C. Late-summer radiative heating peaks midday with minimal cloud cover expected to limit afternoon suppression, while the Po Valley's typical subsidence and urban heat island effects add 1–2°C locally. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speeds create the narrow uncertainty band around these values, with 31°C possible only under slightly stronger insolation. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$232終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak near 30°C in Milan on August 30 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C. Late-summer radiative heating peaks midday with minimal cloud cover expected to limit afternoon suppression, while the Po Valley's typical subsidence and urban heat island effects add 1–2°C locally. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speeds create the narrow uncertainty band around these values, with 31°C possible only under slightly stronger insolation. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$232終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS consensus point to a peak near 30°C in Milan on August 30 under mostly clear skies and light southeasterly flow, supporting the tight market split between 29°C and 30°C. Late-summer radiative heating peaks midday with minimal cloud cover expected to limit afternoon suppression, while the Po Valley's typical subsidence and urban heat island effects add 1–2°C locally. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture or exact wind speeds create the narrow uncertainty band around these values, with 31°C possible only under slightly stronger insolation. Updated runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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