Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration indicate that peripheral effects from nearby typhoons will drive northerly winds and periods of light to moderate rain over Wuhan on August 30, moderating overnight lows compared with the prior week's highs above 36°C. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering near 24–26°C, where market-implied odds remain tightly bunched, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and cloud-cover duration that control nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger or earlier rain could push readings toward 23°C or below by limiting heat retention, while clearer intervals might hold the low near 27–28°C. Official updates from regional forecasts later today will refine wind and humidity profiles critical for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日の武漢の最低気温は?
28°C 90%
32°C or higher 88%
25°C 47%
26°C 46%
22°C or below
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
47%
25°C
47%
26°C
46%
27°C
38%
28°C
90%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
88%
28°C 90%
32°C or higher 88%
25°C 47%
26°C 46%
22°C or below
24%
23°C
31%
24°C
47%
25°C
47%
26°C
46%
27°C
38%
28°C
90%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
88%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration indicate that peripheral effects from nearby typhoons will drive northerly winds and periods of light to moderate rain over Wuhan on August 30, moderating overnight lows compared with the prior week's highs above 36°C. This setup favors minimum temperatures clustering near 24–26°C, where market-implied odds remain tightly bunched, reflecting uncertainty in exact precipitation timing and cloud-cover duration that control nocturnal radiative cooling and boundary-layer mixing. Stronger or earlier rain could push readings toward 23°C or below by limiting heat retention, while clearer intervals might hold the low near 27–28°C. Official updates from regional forecasts later today will refine wind and humidity profiles critical for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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