Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 24–25°C in Munich on August 29, reflecting tight consensus around ensemble guidance from European models that show modest warm-air advection under weak high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and the precise track of a weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, with smaller probabilities attached to 26°C or higher if daytime insolation strengthens more than expected. Official forecasts from agencies such as the German Weather Service carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of 24–48-hour temperature predictions, and any late model run showing shifts in low-level wind direction or humidity could quickly adjust the market-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
8月29日のミュンヘンの最高気温は？
25°C 41%
24°C 33%
26°C 14%
23°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
33%
25°C
41%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 41%
24°C 33%
26°C 14%
23°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
19°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$55 Vol.
4%
23°C
$358 Vol.
9%
24°C
$255 Vol.
33%
25°C
$426 Vol.
41%
26°C
$81 Vol.
14%
27°C
$46 Vol.
4%
28°C
$123 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$83 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 24–25°C in Munich on August 29, reflecting tight consensus around ensemble guidance from European models that show modest warm-air advection under weak high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and the precise track of a weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, with smaller probabilities attached to 26°C or higher if daytime insolation strengthens more than expected. Official forecasts from agencies such as the German Weather Service carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of 24–48-hour temperature predictions, and any late model run showing shifts in low-level wind direction or humidity could quickly adjust the market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$1,492終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 24–25°C in Munich on August 29, reflecting tight consensus around ensemble guidance from European models that show modest warm-air advection under weak high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and the precise track of a weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, with smaller probabilities attached to 26°C or higher if daytime insolation strengthens more than expected. Official forecasts from agencies such as the German Weather Service carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of 24–48-hour temperature predictions, and any late model run showing shifts in low-level wind direction or humidity could quickly adjust the market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$1,492終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETTraders assign the highest implied probabilities to a peak of 24–25°C in Munich on August 29, reflecting tight consensus around ensemble guidance from European models that show modest warm-air advection under weak high pressure. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, overnight cloud cover, and the precise track of a weak frontal boundary create the narrow spread between these two outcomes, with smaller probabilities attached to 26°C or higher if daytime insolation strengthens more than expected. Official forecasts from agencies such as the German Weather Service carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of 24–48-hour temperature predictions, and any late model run showing shifts in low-level wind direction or humidity could quickly adjust the market-implied odds before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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