A warm, dry air mass has driven a heatwave across São Paulo state, elevating maximum temperatures well above the August climatological average of around 22°C and positioning trader consensus around 33–35°C for the capital on August 29. Official forecasts and model runs from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate mostly sunny conditions with northwest winds and negligible precipitation, favoring strong daytime heating while low humidity (potentially below 30%) reduces cloud formation and supports peak readings near 34°C. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight this pattern persisting through the weekend before a frontal system brings cooling and rain early next week. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact model timing and local microclimate variations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
8月29日のサンパウロの最高気温は？
34°C 43%
33°C 29%
35°C 15%
32°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
29%
34°C
43%
35°C
15%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 29%
35°C 15%
32°C 10%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
28°C or below
$22 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$47 Vol.
2%
31°C
$10 Vol.
3%
32°C
$340 Vol.
10%
33°C
$120 Vol.
29%
34°C
$352 Vol.
43%
35°C
$352 Vol.
15%
36°C
$46 Vol.
3%
37°C
$80 Vol.
2%
38°C or higher
$683 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass has driven a heatwave across São Paulo state, elevating maximum temperatures well above the August climatological average of around 22°C and positioning trader consensus around 33–35°C for the capital on August 29. Official forecasts and model runs from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate mostly sunny conditions with northwest winds and negligible precipitation, favoring strong daytime heating while low humidity (potentially below 30%) reduces cloud formation and supports peak readings near 34°C. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight this pattern persisting through the weekend before a frontal system brings cooling and rain early next week. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact model timing and local microclimate variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
音量
$2,063終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A warm, dry air mass has driven a heatwave across São Paulo state, elevating maximum temperatures well above the August climatological average of around 22°C and positioning trader consensus around 33–35°C for the capital on August 29. Official forecasts and model runs from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate mostly sunny conditions with northwest winds and negligible precipitation, favoring strong daytime heating while low humidity (potentially below 30%) reduces cloud formation and supports peak readings near 34°C. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight this pattern persisting through the weekend before a frontal system brings cooling and rain early next week. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact model timing and local microclimate variations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,063終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETA warm, dry air mass has driven a heatwave across São Paulo state, elevating maximum temperatures well above the August climatological average of around 22°C and positioning trader consensus around 33–35°C for the capital on August 29. Official forecasts and model runs from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring indicate mostly sunny conditions with northwest winds and negligible precipitation, favoring strong daytime heating while low humidity (potentially below 30%) reduces cloud formation and supports peak readings near 34°C. Recent alerts from São Paulo’s Civil Defense highlight this pattern persisting through the weekend before a frontal system brings cooling and rain early next week. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range of outcomes, with uncertainty centered on exact model timing and local microclimate variations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問