A mass of hot, dry air is driving Sao Paulo temperatures well above seasonal norms on August 28, with multiple forecast models converging on a daytime high of 30–33°C under sunny skies and light northwest winds. Low humidity near 30% or below supports rapid daytime warming, as the city experiences a temporary heat surge before cooler, rainier conditions arrive after September 1. This setup aligns with market-implied odds favoring 32°C (46%) or 33°C (24.5%), reflecting trader assessment of official maximum readings amid clear model consensus and minimal precipitation risk. Historical August highs average closer to 22–25°C, underscoring the anomaly captured in current probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のサンパウロの最高気温は?
32°C 46%
33°C 25%
31°C 19%
30°C 7%
$10,425 Vol.
$10,425 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
19%
32°C
46%
33°C
25%
34°C or higher
6%
32°C 46%
33°C 25%
31°C 19%
30°C 7%
$10,425 Vol.
$10,425 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
19%
32°C
46%
33°C
25%
34°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
A mass of hot, dry air is driving Sao Paulo temperatures well above seasonal norms on August 28, with multiple forecast models converging on a daytime high of 30–33°C under sunny skies and light northwest winds. Low humidity near 30% or below supports rapid daytime warming, as the city experiences a temporary heat surge before cooler, rainier conditions arrive after September 1. This setup aligns with market-implied odds favoring 32°C (46%) or 33°C (24.5%), reflecting trader assessment of official maximum readings amid clear model consensus and minimal precipitation risk. Historical August highs average closer to 22–25°C, underscoring the anomaly captured in current probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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