Recent forecast model runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles have positioned 20°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, with market-implied odds at 46.5% reflecting expectations of mild late-winter conditions driven by high pressure, light easterly flow, and limited cloud cover over Buenos Aires on August 29. Supporting probabilities cluster tightly around 19–21°C (collectively over 85%), consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the period yet tempered by uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle warm advection. Lower outcomes below 18°C hold minimal implied probability, aligning with stable synoptic patterns and absence of cold fronts in the latest guidance, while upside risks above 22°C remain remote pending final model updates before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
8月29日のブエノスアイレスの最高気温は？
20°C 47%
19°C 23%
21°C 17%
18°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
11%
19°C
23%
20°C
47%
21°C
17%
22°C
4%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 47%
19°C 23%
21°C 17%
18°C 11%
新規
新規
2026/08/29
14°C or below
$500 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$385 Vol.
1%
16°C
$128 Vol.
2%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$95 Vol.
11%
19°C
$344 Vol.
23%
20°C
$883 Vol.
47%
21°C
$153 Vol.
17%
22°C
$54 Vol.
4%
23°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles have positioned 20°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, with market-implied odds at 46.5% reflecting expectations of mild late-winter conditions driven by high pressure, light easterly flow, and limited cloud cover over Buenos Aires on August 29. Supporting probabilities cluster tightly around 19–21°C (collectively over 85%), consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the period yet tempered by uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle warm advection. Lower outcomes below 18°C hold minimal implied probability, aligning with stable synoptic patterns and absence of cold fronts in the latest guidance, while upside risks above 22°C remain remote pending final model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
音量
$2,721終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles have positioned 20°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, with market-implied odds at 46.5% reflecting expectations of mild late-winter conditions driven by high pressure, light easterly flow, and limited cloud cover over Buenos Aires on August 29. Supporting probabilities cluster tightly around 19–21°C (collectively over 85%), consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the period yet tempered by uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle warm advection. Lower outcomes below 18°C hold minimal implied probability, aligning with stable synoptic patterns and absence of cold fronts in the latest guidance, while upside risks above 22°C remain remote pending final model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,721終了日
2026/08/29マーケット開始日
Aug 27, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRecent forecast model runs from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and global ensembles have positioned 20°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, with market-implied odds at 46.5% reflecting expectations of mild late-winter conditions driven by high pressure, light easterly flow, and limited cloud cover over Buenos Aires on August 29. Supporting probabilities cluster tightly around 19–21°C (collectively over 85%), consistent with climatological norms near 18°C for the period yet tempered by uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any subtle warm advection. Lower outcomes below 18°C hold minimal implied probability, aligning with stable synoptic patterns and absence of cold fronts in the latest guidance, while upside risks above 22°C remain remote pending final model updates before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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