**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 5–8°C for Buenos Aires’ official minimum on August 28, 2026, reflecting model spread and current conditions favoring moderate radiative cooling.** Forecasts from SMN-aligned sources and international models show daytime highs reaching 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies, with overnight lows expected near 9–11°C as winds ease to light easterly or southerly flow. Clearer periods overnight could enhance longwave radiation loss, pushing the minimum lower toward 7–8°C, while residual cloud cover or slightly stronger winds would limit cooling to the 9–10°C range. Historical August climatology (average minimum ~7°C) and recent model runs showing a stable high-pressure influence support the balanced probabilities across 5–8°C bins, with only modest odds on 4°C or below given the absence of a strong cold-air advection event. Updated overnight observations and final model consensus before resolution will be key.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のブエノスアイレスの最低気温は?
5℃ 26%
6℃ 26%
7℃ 26%
4℃以下 5%
4℃以下
5%
5℃
26%
6℃
26%
7℃
26%
8℃
<1%
9℃
<1%
10°C
<1%
11℃
<1%
12°C
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C以上
<1%
5℃ 26%
6℃ 26%
7℃ 26%
4℃以下 5%
4℃以下
5%
5℃
26%
6℃
26%
7℃
26%
8℃
<1%
9℃
<1%
10°C
<1%
11℃
<1%
12°C
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 5–8°C for Buenos Aires’ official minimum on August 28, 2026, reflecting model spread and current conditions favoring moderate radiative cooling.** Forecasts from SMN-aligned sources and international models show daytime highs reaching 16–18°C under partly cloudy skies, with overnight lows expected near 9–11°C as winds ease to light easterly or southerly flow. Clearer periods overnight could enhance longwave radiation loss, pushing the minimum lower toward 7–8°C, while residual cloud cover or slightly stronger winds would limit cooling to the 9–10°C range. Historical August climatology (average minimum ~7°C) and recent model runs showing a stable high-pressure influence support the balanced probabilities across 5–8°C bins, with only modest odds on 4°C or below given the absence of a strong cold-air advection event. Updated overnight observations and final model consensus before resolution will be key.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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