National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate a persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current will cap San Francisco's high on August 31 near 62–66°F, well below the 69.6°F climatological average. Southwest winds of 10–20 mph and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon warming, with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 64–67°F reflecting minor differences in model runs for stratus thinning and sea-breeze strength. Recent observations show this cooler regime has held through late August, and traders appear to be weighting the balance between slightly stronger marine influence (favoring the lower bins) and any temporary clearing that could push readings a degree or two higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
8月31日のサンフランシスコの最高気温は？
66～67°F 32%
64～65°F 24%
68～69°F 21%
70〜71°F 20%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
57°F以下
1%
58〜59°F
10%
60〜61°F
16%
62〜63°F
12%
64～65°F
24%
66～67°F
32%
68～69°F
21%
70〜71°F
20%
72〜73°F
10%
74～75°F
10%
76°F以上
5%
66～67°F 32%
64～65°F 24%
68～69°F 21%
70〜71°F 20%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
57°F以下
$0 Vol.
1%
58〜59°F
$0 Vol.
10%
60〜61°F
$0 Vol.
16%
62〜63°F
$6 Vol.
12%
64～65°F
$23 Vol.
24%
66～67°F
$0 Vol.
32%
68～69°F
$0 Vol.
21%
70〜71°F
$0 Vol.
20%
72〜73°F
$0 Vol.
10%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
10%
76°F以上
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate a persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current will cap San Francisco's high on August 31 near 62–66°F, well below the 69.6°F climatological average. Southwest winds of 10–20 mph and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon warming, with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 64–67°F reflecting minor differences in model runs for stratus thinning and sea-breeze strength. Recent observations show this cooler regime has held through late August, and traders appear to be weighting the balance between slightly stronger marine influence (favoring the lower bins) and any temporary clearing that could push readings a degree or two higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
音量
$29終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate a persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current will cap San Francisco's high on August 31 near 62–66°F, well below the 69.6°F climatological average. Southwest winds of 10–20 mph and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon warming, with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 64–67°F reflecting minor differences in model runs for stratus thinning and sea-breeze strength. Recent observations show this cooler regime has held through late August, and traders appear to be weighting the balance between slightly stronger marine influence (favoring the lower bins) and any temporary clearing that could push readings a degree or two higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$29終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate a persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool California Current will cap San Francisco's high on August 31 near 62–66°F, well below the 69.6°F climatological average. Southwest winds of 10–20 mph and mostly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon warming, with the tight clustering of market probabilities around 64–67°F reflecting minor differences in model runs for stratus thinning and sea-breeze strength. Recent observations show this cooler regime has held through late August, and traders appear to be weighting the balance between slightly stronger marine influence (favoring the lower bins) and any temporary clearing that could push readings a degree or two higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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