Current National Weather Service and private forecasts project a high near 94–96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and only isolated afternoon convection possible. This aligns with late-August climatology, when strong subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence and maximizes insolation while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Minor model differences in timing of sea-breeze convergence or brief cloud build-up account for the spread between the 92–93°F and 96–97°F bins, which together hold roughly 48% implied probability. Historical analogs show highs in this range occur frequently absent a frontal passage, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around the mid-90s.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
8月31日のヒューストンの最高気温は？
94〜95°F 36%
92～93°F 27%
90〜91°F 20%
96〜97°F 20%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
83°F以下
<1%
84〜85°F
7%
86〜87°F
7%
88～89°F
7%
90〜91°F
20%
92～93°F
27%
94〜95°F
36%
96〜97°F
20%
98〜99°F
19%
100～101°F
7%
102°F以上
7%
94〜95°F 36%
92～93°F 27%
90〜91°F 20%
96〜97°F 20%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
83°F以下
$0 Vol.
<1%
84〜85°F
$0 Vol.
7%
86〜87°F
$0 Vol.
7%
88～89°F
$0 Vol.
7%
90〜91°F
$0 Vol.
20%
92～93°F
$167 Vol.
27%
94〜95°F
$0 Vol.
36%
96〜97°F
$0 Vol.
20%
98〜99°F
$33 Vol.
19%
100～101°F
$0 Vol.
7%
102°F以上
$0 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecasts project a high near 94–96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and only isolated afternoon convection possible. This aligns with late-August climatology, when strong subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence and maximizes insolation while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Minor model differences in timing of sea-breeze convergence or brief cloud build-up account for the spread between the 92–93°F and 96–97°F bins, which together hold roughly 48% implied probability. Historical analogs show highs in this range occur frequently absent a frontal passage, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around the mid-90s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
音量
$200終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and private forecasts project a high near 94–96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and only isolated afternoon convection possible. This aligns with late-August climatology, when strong subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence and maximizes insolation while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Minor model differences in timing of sea-breeze convergence or brief cloud build-up account for the spread between the 92–93°F and 96–97°F bins, which together hold roughly 48% implied probability. Historical analogs show highs in this range occur frequently absent a frontal passage, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around the mid-90s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$200終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETCurrent National Weather Service and private forecasts project a high near 94–96°F for Houston on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light southerly flow and only isolated afternoon convection possible. This aligns with late-August climatology, when strong subtropical high pressure promotes subsidence and maximizes insolation while Gulf moisture keeps dew points elevated. Minor model differences in timing of sea-breeze convergence or brief cloud build-up account for the spread between the 92–93°F and 96–97°F bins, which together hold roughly 48% implied probability. Historical analogs show highs in this range occur frequently absent a frontal passage, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around the mid-90s.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問