**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 30 project sunny skies and a high near 95–96°F, with only a slight afternoon storm chance.** This consensus from the latest NWS Houston/Galveston guidance, supported by consistent model runs showing light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s tight clustering around the 94–97°F outcomes at roughly 75% combined implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-normal dew points are sustaining heat indices near 105°F, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of ~92°F. Minor forecast spreads arise mainly from possible timing or coverage of isolated convection, which could shave a degree or two off the peak if clouds build earlier than expected. With resolution just hours away, traders are weighting the official deterministic guidance and ensemble agreement heavily.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のヒューストンの最高気温は?
96~97°F 40%
94〜95°F 35%
98〜99°F 14%
92〜93°F 10%
83°F以下
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
2%
90〜91°F
3%
92〜93°F
10%
94〜95°F
35%
96~97°F
40%
98〜99°F
14%
100~101°F
3%
102°F以上
1%
96~97°F 40%
94〜95°F 35%
98〜99°F 14%
92〜93°F 10%
83°F以下
<1%
84〜85°F
<1%
86〜87°F
<1%
88〜89°F
2%
90〜91°F
3%
92〜93°F
10%
94〜95°F
35%
96~97°F
40%
98〜99°F
14%
100~101°F
3%
102°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 30 project sunny skies and a high near 95–96°F, with only a slight afternoon storm chance.** This consensus from the latest NWS Houston/Galveston guidance, supported by consistent model runs showing light southeast winds and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s tight clustering around the 94–97°F outcomes at roughly 75% combined implied probability. Persistent high pressure and above-normal dew points are sustaining heat indices near 105°F, pushing daytime maxima several degrees above the late-August climatological average of ~92°F. Minor forecast spreads arise mainly from possible timing or coverage of isolated convection, which could shave a degree or two off the peak if clouds build earlier than expected. With resolution just hours away, traders are weighting the official deterministic guidance and ensemble agreement heavily.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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