Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models indicate a most probable daily maximum of 24–25°C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, moderate moisture, and typical late-summer convective timing over the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. The tight spread between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification across model runs, with 26°C or higher remaining possible only if stronger insolation develops. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet current guidance has trended slightly cooler. Resolution will occur once official observations are finalized after local sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
25℃ 42%
24°C 36%
26°C以上 12%
23℃ 10%
16℃以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23℃
10%
24°C
36%
25℃
42%
26°C以上
12%
25℃ 42%
24°C 36%
26°C以上 12%
23℃ 10%
16℃以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23℃
10%
24°C
36%
25℃
42%
26°C以上
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from global and regional models indicate a most probable daily maximum of 24–25°C in Mexico City on August 30, driven by a stable subtropical ridge, moderate moisture, and typical late-summer convective timing over the high-elevation Valley of Mexico. The tight spread between the 24°C and 25°C outcomes reflects small but meaningful differences in simulated cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat-island amplification across model runs, with 26°C or higher remaining possible only if stronger insolation develops. Historical late-August climatology shows average highs near 26°C, yet current guidance has trended slightly cooler. Resolution will occur once official observations are finalized after local sunset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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