Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a moderating influence from peripheral flow associated with Typhoon Shadell, driving northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered rain on August 31 that limit daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs near 30–32 °C, with northerly advection of cooler air and reduced insolation under mostly cloudy skies capping the peak. Differences among leading outcomes (31–33 °C) hinge on the precise timing and coverage of precipitation, which can enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts maximum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against climatological late-August baselines and recent model runs, producing closely matched probabilities that reflect remaining forecast uncertainty two days before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の武漢の最高気温は？
8月31日の武漢の最高気温は？
32°C 28%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
29°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
27°C or below
3%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
11%
31°C
19%
32°C
28%
33°C
25%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 28%
33°C 20%
31°C 19%
29°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/08/31
27°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
11%
31°C
$0 Vol.
19%
32°C
$0 Vol.
28%
33°C
$142 Vol.
25%
34°C
$0 Vol.
5%
35°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a moderating influence from peripheral flow associated with Typhoon Shadell, driving northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered rain on August 31 that limit daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs near 30–32 °C, with northerly advection of cooler air and reduced insolation under mostly cloudy skies capping the peak. Differences among leading outcomes (31–33 °C) hinge on the precise timing and coverage of precipitation, which can enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts maximum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against climatological late-August baselines and recent model runs, producing closely matched probabilities that reflect remaining forecast uncertainty two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$153終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a moderating influence from peripheral flow associated with Typhoon Shadell, driving northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered rain on August 31 that limit daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs near 30–32 °C, with northerly advection of cooler air and reduced insolation under mostly cloudy skies capping the peak. Differences among leading outcomes (31–33 °C) hinge on the precise timing and coverage of precipitation, which can enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts maximum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against climatological late-August baselines and recent model runs, producing closely matched probabilities that reflect remaining forecast uncertainty two days before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$153終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Wuhan show a moderating influence from peripheral flow associated with Typhoon Shadell, driving northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and scattered rain on August 31 that limit daytime heating. Official guidance and ensemble models point to highs near 30–32 °C, with northerly advection of cooler air and reduced insolation under mostly cloudy skies capping the peak. Differences among leading outcomes (31–33 °C) hinge on the precise timing and coverage of precipitation, which can enhance evaporative cooling or allow brief clearing that boosts maximum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Traders appear to weigh these variables against climatological late-August baselines and recent model runs, producing closely matched probabilities that reflect remaining forecast uncertainty two days before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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