Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou will see a high of 30–33°C on August 31, 2026, below the 1991–2020 average of 33°C, as increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms develop ahead of a likely tropical cyclone influence. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping peak temperatures despite typical late-August humidity levels near 80%. Historical analogs show similar rain events often suppress highs by 2–4°C. Traders are monitoring updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and Guangzhou Meteorological Service, with the next major model cycle and local briefings expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日の広州の最高気温は?
32℃ 23%
33℃ 22%
34℃ 20%
35℃ 20%
26℃以下
1%
27°C
1%
28℃
1%
29℃
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32℃
23%
33℃
22%
34℃
20%
35℃
20%
36℃以上
1%
32℃ 23%
33℃ 22%
34℃ 20%
35℃ 20%
26℃以下
1%
27°C
1%
28℃
1%
29℃
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32℃
23%
33℃
22%
34℃
20%
35℃
20%
36℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Guangzhou will see a high of 30–33°C on August 31, 2026, below the 1991–2020 average of 33°C, as increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms develop ahead of a likely tropical cyclone influence. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, capping peak temperatures despite typical late-August humidity levels near 80%. Historical analogs show similar rain events often suppress highs by 2–4°C. Traders are monitoring updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and Guangzhou Meteorological Service, with the next major model cycle and local briefings expected to refine the outlook before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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