**Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and WeatherBug points to a daytime high near 25°C in Mexico City on August 28, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that outcome.** August's rainy season typically brings frequent afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover that suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages of 23–24°C, while the city's high elevation around 2,240 meters further moderates extremes. Recent observations show overcast skies, light winds, and 50–85% rain chances, keeping conditions consistent with 24–26°C ranges that hold the next-highest probabilities. Updated model runs through the day will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
8月28日のメキシコシティの最高気温は？
25°C 63%
24℃ 25%
26℃ 13%
23℃ 2%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
19℃以下
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
<1%
22°C
1%
23℃
2%
24℃
25%
25°C
63%
26℃
13%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29℃以上
<1%
25°C 63%
24℃ 25%
26℃ 13%
23℃ 2%
新規
新規
2026/08/28
19℃以下
$188 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
21℃
$359 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$608 Vol.
1%
23℃
$742 Vol.
2%
24℃
$1,003 Vol.
25%
25°C
$2,989 Vol.
63%
26℃
$1,194 Vol.
13%
27°C
$576 Vol.
2%
28°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
29℃以上
$358 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and WeatherBug points to a daytime high near 25°C in Mexico City on August 28, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that outcome.**
August's rainy season typically brings frequent afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover that suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages of 23–24°C, while the city's high elevation around 2,240 meters further moderates extremes. Recent observations show overcast skies, light winds, and 50–85% rain chances, keeping conditions consistent with 24–26°C ranges that hold the next-highest probabilities. Updated model runs through the day will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
音量
$8,856終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and WeatherBug points to a daytime high near 25°C in Mexico City on August 28, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that outcome.**
August's rainy season typically brings frequent afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover that suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages of 23–24°C, while the city's high elevation around 2,240 meters further moderates extremes. Recent observations show overcast skies, light winds, and 50–85% rain chances, keeping conditions consistent with 24–26°C ranges that hold the next-highest probabilities. Updated model runs through the day will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$8,856終了日
2026/08/28マーケット開始日
Aug 26, 2026, 8:57 PM ET**Forecast consensus from models such as those referenced by the Met Office and WeatherBug points to a daytime high near 25°C in Mexico City on August 28, aligning with the market's leading 61.5% implied probability for that outcome.** August's rainy season typically brings frequent afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover that suppress peak temperatures below seasonal averages of 23–24°C, while the city's high elevation around 2,240 meters further moderates extremes. Recent observations show overcast skies, light winds, and 50–85% rain chances, keeping conditions consistent with 24–26°C ranges that hold the next-highest probabilities. Updated model runs through the day will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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