Official forecasts from Environment Canada place Toronto’s August 28 high near 23–24 °C under a mix of sun and cloud with light northerly winds shifting southerly and humidex values around 26 °C. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing clearing after Thursday’s showers, positions 23 °C as the market leader at 50.5 % implied probability while 24 °C holds secondary support. Cooler outcomes near 22 °C remain plausible if cloud cover thickens or onshore flow strengthens, yet current observations and short-range guidance favor the narrow 23–24 °C band. Traders are therefore weighting the latest official temperature guidance and any afternoon model updates that could refine peak readings before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月28日のトロントの最高気温は?
23°C 51%
24°C 25%
22°C 16%
25°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
16%
23°C
51%
24°C
25%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 51%
24°C 25%
22°C 16%
25°C 4%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
16%
23°C
51%
24°C
25%
25°C
4%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 26, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada place Toronto’s August 28 high near 23–24 °C under a mix of sun and cloud with light northerly winds shifting southerly and humidex values around 26 °C. This consensus, reinforced by recent model runs showing clearing after Thursday’s showers, positions 23 °C as the market leader at 50.5 % implied probability while 24 °C holds secondary support. Cooler outcomes near 22 °C remain plausible if cloud cover thickens or onshore flow strengthens, yet current observations and short-range guidance favor the narrow 23–24 °C band. Traders are therefore weighting the latest official temperature guidance and any afternoon model updates that could refine peak readings before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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