Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to a high near 89°F in Miami on August 30, with afternoon thunderstorms and east winds of 8–11 mph expected to cap daytime peaks amid high humidity. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting typical late-summer variability around the 90.2°F climatological average while accounting for possible model shifts in storm timing or clearing that could push readings into the low 90s. Recent observations show heat indices exceeding 106°F, underscoring moisture-driven amplification, though actual air temperatures remain the resolution metric. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will provide key signals for any adjustments to these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のマイアミの最高気温は?
90〜91°F 43%
92〜93°F 25%
88〜89°F 19%
94〜95°F 7%
79°F以下
<1%
80~81°F
1%
82~83°F
2%
84~85°F
3%
86~87°F
4%
88〜89°F
19%
90〜91°F
43%
92〜93°F
25%
94〜95°F
7%
96~97°F
3%
98°F以上
1%
90〜91°F 43%
92〜93°F 25%
88〜89°F 19%
94〜95°F 7%
79°F以下
<1%
80~81°F
1%
82~83°F
2%
84~85°F
3%
86~87°F
4%
88〜89°F
19%
90〜91°F
43%
92〜93°F
25%
94〜95°F
7%
96~97°F
3%
98°F以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from the National Weather Service and ensemble models points to a high near 89°F in Miami on August 30, with afternoon thunderstorms and east winds of 8–11 mph expected to cap daytime peaks amid high humidity. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 90–91°F bin as the modal outcome, reflecting typical late-summer variability around the 90.2°F climatological average while accounting for possible model shifts in storm timing or clearing that could push readings into the low 90s. Recent observations show heat indices exceeding 106°F, underscoring moisture-driven amplification, though actual air temperatures remain the resolution metric. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will provide key signals for any adjustments to these implied probabilities before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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