Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a daily minimum around 24–26°C on August 29, driven by northerly winds and peripheral flow from Typhoon Shadell, which advect cooler, drier air into the region and increase cloud cover. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs, producing a narrower diurnal range in this humid subtropical setting where August lows historically average near 26°C. Official station measurements from sources like the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with model consensus pointing to limited further cooling potential. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (48.5% implied probability) reflects uncertainty in exact overnight readings amid variable wind speeds and scattered precipitation chances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日の武漢の最低気温は?
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
22°C or below
47%
23°C
51%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
22°C or below
47%
23°C
51%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Wuhan show a daily minimum around 24–26°C on August 29, driven by northerly winds and peripheral flow from Typhoon Shadell, which advect cooler, drier air into the region and increase cloud cover. These conditions limit radiative cooling overnight while suppressing daytime highs, producing a narrower diurnal range in this humid subtropical setting where August lows historically average near 26°C. Official station measurements from sources like the China Meteorological Administration will determine resolution, with model consensus pointing to limited further cooling potential. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (48.5% implied probability) reflects uncertainty in exact overnight readings amid variable wind speeds and scattered precipitation chances.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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