Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and European forecasts indicates Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds under 10 km/h, and negligible precipitation on August 29, favoring strong daytime solar heating in the city's continental climate. This setup supports afternoon highs clustering near 29–30°C, with limited moisture and stable high pressure suppressing cloud formation or cooling. Minor variations across runs, including slight warming potential from southerly flow, underpin trader positioning toward 31°C as the mode while keeping 30°C competitive. Historical late-August baselines in Madrid average around 30–32°C, and the absence of disruptive fronts or model divergence reinforces this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のマドリードの最高気温は?
31°C 63%
30°C 30%
32°C 7%
29°C 3%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
30%
31°C
63%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 63%
30°C 30%
32°C 7%
29°C 3%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
30%
31°C
63%
32°C
7%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and European forecasts indicates Madrid will experience clear skies, light winds under 10 km/h, and negligible precipitation on August 29, favoring strong daytime solar heating in the city's continental climate. This setup supports afternoon highs clustering near 29–30°C, with limited moisture and stable high pressure suppressing cloud formation or cooling. Minor variations across runs, including slight warming potential from southerly flow, underpin trader positioning toward 31°C as the mode while keeping 30°C competitive. Historical late-August baselines in Madrid average around 30–32°C, and the absence of disruptive fronts or model divergence reinforces this narrow range ahead of final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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