Monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and thunderstorm potential tied to a lingering low-pressure system, form the main driver behind trader positioning. These factors limit surface heating and solar insolation, keeping official IMD forecasts centered on a 34°C maximum while real-time observations hover in the low 30s. Model consensus from multiple agencies points to afternoon peaks between 31–34°C, with rain-cooled air masses differentiating the closely matched 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Updated IMD briefings and hourly data releases through the day will likely refine probabilities as convective activity evolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のラクナウの最高気温は?
33°C 33%
32°C 28%
31°C 17%
34°C 14%
$12,421 Vol.
$12,421 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
28%
33°C
33%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
5%
33°C 33%
32°C 28%
31°C 17%
34°C 14%
$12,421 Vol.
$12,421 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
28%
33°C
33%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and thunderstorm potential tied to a lingering low-pressure system, form the main driver behind trader positioning. These factors limit surface heating and solar insolation, keeping official IMD forecasts centered on a 34°C maximum while real-time observations hover in the low 30s. Model consensus from multiple agencies points to afternoon peaks between 31–34°C, with rain-cooled air masses differentiating the closely matched 32°C and 33°C outcomes. Updated IMD briefings and hourly data releases through the day will likely refine probabilities as convective activity evolves.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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