Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF point to modest overnight cooling for San Francisco on August 30, with the lowest temperature at SFO expected near 55–56 °F under a variable marine layer and light-to-moderate onshore flow. Persistent stratus and coastal upwelling typical of late August suppress radiational cooling, while southwest winds of 10–15 mph and dew points near 55 °F limit further drops. Slight differences in marine-layer depth or wind speed among model solutions create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 56–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to clearer-sky scenarios that would allow deeper cooling toward the mid-50s or below.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
8月30日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は？
62〜63°F 49%
58〜59°F 33%
56〜57°F 32%
50～51°F 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
47°F以下
1%
48～49°F
2%
50～51°F
26%
52〜53°F
25%
54〜55°F
26%
56〜57°F
32%
58〜59°F
33%
60〜61°F
25%
62〜63°F
49%
64～65°F
20%
66°F以上
16%
62〜63°F 49%
58〜59°F 33%
56〜57°F 32%
50～51°F 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
47°F以下
$263 Vol.
1%
48～49°F
$16 Vol.
2%
50～51°F
$0 Vol.
26%
52〜53°F
$0 Vol.
25%
54〜55°F
$0 Vol.
26%
56〜57°F
$0 Vol.
32%
58〜59°F
$0 Vol.
33%
60〜61°F
$0 Vol.
25%
62〜63°F
$20 Vol.
49%
64～65°F
$75 Vol.
20%
66°F以上
$10 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF point to modest overnight cooling for San Francisco on August 30, with the lowest temperature at SFO expected near 55–56 °F under a variable marine layer and light-to-moderate onshore flow. Persistent stratus and coastal upwelling typical of late August suppress radiational cooling, while southwest winds of 10–15 mph and dew points near 55 °F limit further drops. Slight differences in marine-layer depth or wind speed among model solutions create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 56–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to clearer-sky scenarios that would allow deeper cooling toward the mid-50s or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$384終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF point to modest overnight cooling for San Francisco on August 30, with the lowest temperature at SFO expected near 55–56 °F under a variable marine layer and light-to-moderate onshore flow. Persistent stratus and coastal upwelling typical of late August suppress radiational cooling, while southwest winds of 10–15 mph and dew points near 55 °F limit further drops. Slight differences in marine-layer depth or wind speed among model solutions create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 56–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to clearer-sky scenarios that would allow deeper cooling toward the mid-50s or below.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$384終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs from the GFS and ECMWF point to modest overnight cooling for San Francisco on August 30, with the lowest temperature at SFO expected near 55–56 °F under a variable marine layer and light-to-moderate onshore flow. Persistent stratus and coastal upwelling typical of late August suppress radiational cooling, while southwest winds of 10–15 mph and dew points near 55 °F limit further drops. Slight differences in marine-layer depth or wind speed among model solutions create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 56–59 °F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to clearer-sky scenarios that would allow deeper cooling toward the mid-50s or below.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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