Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 23 indicate a high near 19–22°C amid widespread cloud cover and 60–80% precipitation probability from ongoing rainy-season moisture, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima below seasonal norms. Official model consensus and observational trends from the past week show suppressed temperatures due to persistent stratiform clouds and light rain, aligning with historical August patterns where convection often prevents peaks above 24°C. Trader emphasis on 22°C and 23°C as leading outcomes reflects this near-term atmospheric setup, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes capture uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のメキシコシティの最高気温は?
22℃ 38%
23℃ 26%
21°C 14%
20°C 9%
18℃以下
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
14%
22℃
38%
23℃
26%
24°C
9%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28℃以上
3%
22℃ 38%
23℃ 26%
21°C 14%
20°C 9%
18℃以下
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
14%
22℃
38%
23℃
26%
24°C
9%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 23 indicate a high near 19–22°C amid widespread cloud cover and 60–80% precipitation probability from ongoing rainy-season moisture, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima below seasonal norms. Official model consensus and observational trends from the past week show suppressed temperatures due to persistent stratiform clouds and light rain, aligning with historical August patterns where convection often prevents peaks above 24°C. Trader emphasis on 22°C and 23°C as leading outcomes reflects this near-term atmospheric setup, while lower probabilities for 24°C+ or sub-20°C outcomes capture uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity that could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問