Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and NOAA-aligned sources indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 16–19°C range, driven by a southwest flow with increasing cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs near 27–28°C. This setup creates tight market balance between sub-14°C outcomes (supported by stronger advection or clearer skies enhancing cooling) and 24°C+ readings (if subtropical air dominates), with specific probabilities clustering around 16–18°C reflecting typical late-summer variability and model spread. Historical August lows average 18.5°C, providing context for the uncertainty ahead of final 24–48 hour guidance updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のマドリードの最低気温は？
8月26日のマドリードの最低気温は？
14°C or below 69%
24°C or higher 59%
15°C 48%
19°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
14°C or below
69%
15°C
48%
16°C
29%
17°C
31%
18°C
26%
19°C
48%
20°C
2%
21°C
43%
22°C
33%
23°C
33%
24°C or higher
59%
14°C or below 69%
24°C or higher 59%
15°C 48%
19°C 48%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
14°C or below
$0 Vol.
69%
15°C
$0 Vol.
48%
16°C
$0 Vol.
29%
17°C
$0 Vol.
31%
18°C
$0 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
48%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
43%
22°C
$0 Vol.
33%
23°C
$0 Vol.
33%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and NOAA-aligned sources indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 16–19°C range, driven by a southwest flow with increasing cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs near 27–28°C. This setup creates tight market balance between sub-14°C outcomes (supported by stronger advection or clearer skies enhancing cooling) and 24°C+ readings (if subtropical air dominates), with specific probabilities clustering around 16–18°C reflecting typical late-summer variability and model spread. Historical August lows average 18.5°C, providing context for the uncertainty ahead of final 24–48 hour guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and NOAA-aligned sources indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 16–19°C range, driven by a southwest flow with increasing cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs near 27–28°C. This setup creates tight market balance between sub-14°C outcomes (supported by stronger advection or clearer skies enhancing cooling) and 24°C+ readings (if subtropical air dominates), with specific probabilities clustering around 16–18°C reflecting typical late-summer variability and model spread. Historical August lows average 18.5°C, providing context for the uncertainty ahead of final 24–48 hour guidance updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models from agencies like the Met Office and NOAA-aligned sources indicate Madrid's minimum temperature on August 26 will likely fall in the 16–19°C range, driven by a southwest flow with increasing cloud cover that limits nighttime radiative cooling while moderating daytime highs near 27–28°C. This setup creates tight market balance between sub-14°C outcomes (supported by stronger advection or clearer skies enhancing cooling) and 24°C+ readings (if subtropical air dominates), with specific probabilities clustering around 16–18°C reflecting typical late-summer variability and model spread. Historical August lows average 18.5°C, providing context for the uncertainty ahead of final 24–48 hour guidance updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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