Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate Milan overnight lows near 20–22°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology but tempered by recent convective cooling and variable dew points near 18–19°C. Trader consensus around 18–19°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, while the elevated 32.5% on 14°C or below captures tail risk from stronger nocturnal decoupling or measurement at a cooler suburban station. Short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture from prior storms keeps probabilities tightly clustered between 16–22°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs before resolution will refine the minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のミラノの最低気温は?
14°C or below 65%
18°C 50%
16°C 47%
17°C 47%
14°C or below
65%
15°C
24%
16°C
47%
17°C
47%
18°C
50%
19°C
28%
20°C
47%
21°C
47%
22°C
47%
23°C
24%
24°C or higher
2%
14°C or below 65%
18°C 50%
16°C 47%
17°C 47%
14°C or below
65%
15°C
24%
16°C
47%
17°C
47%
18°C
50%
19°C
28%
20°C
47%
21°C
47%
22°C
47%
23°C
24%
24°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate Milan overnight lows near 20–22°C on August 26 under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow, consistent with late-summer climatology but tempered by recent convective cooling and variable dew points near 18–19°C. Trader consensus around 18–19°C outcomes reflects model agreement on modest radiative cooling under reduced cloud cover, while the elevated 32.5% on 14°C or below captures tail risk from stronger nocturnal decoupling or measurement at a cooler suburban station. Short-range uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any residual moisture from prior storms keeps probabilities tightly clustered between 16–22°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs before resolution will refine the minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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