Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate overnight lows in Milan around 21–22°C for August 25, consistent with climatological August norms of roughly 18–20°C, amid scattered thunderstorms that could enhance or suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. The near-even split between 14°C-or-below and 24°C-or-higher outcomes reflects trader emphasis on tail risks from model spread in Po Valley boundary-layer processes, including variable cloud cover, weak easterly flow, and potential Atlantic or Mediterranean air-mass intrusions that alter dew-point depressions and urban heat-island effects. Upcoming high-resolution runs from ECMWF and ICON will likely tighten this range as the 48-hour window narrows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のミラノの最低気温は?
24°C or higher 90%
14°C or below 89%
19°C 32%
18°C 27%
14°C or below
89%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
32%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
90%
24°C or higher 90%
14°C or below 89%
19°C 32%
18°C 27%
14°C or below
89%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
27%
19°C
32%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from European and global models indicate overnight lows in Milan around 21–22°C for August 25, consistent with climatological August norms of roughly 18–20°C, amid scattered thunderstorms that could enhance or suppress nocturnal radiative cooling. The near-even split between 14°C-or-below and 24°C-or-higher outcomes reflects trader emphasis on tail risks from model spread in Po Valley boundary-layer processes, including variable cloud cover, weak easterly flow, and potential Atlantic or Mediterranean air-mass intrusions that alter dew-point depressions and urban heat-island effects. Upcoming high-resolution runs from ECMWF and ICON will likely tighten this range as the 48-hour window narrows.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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