Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 59°F on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the dominant 58-59°F market bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow maintained typical late-summer nocturnal cooling without the stronger radiational or offshore-wind conditions that historically produce sub-55°F readings. Model guidance and local climatology had already converged on lows in the upper 50s, and post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty, driving near-certain trader consensus. Only minor station-to-station variance or measurement timing differences could theoretically shift resolution, but authoritative data sources render such scenarios improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のサンフランシスコの最低気温は?
58〜59°F 100.0%
49°F以下 1.0%
54~55°F 1.0%
50〜51°F <1%
$2,409 Vol.
$2,409 Vol.
49°F以下
いいえ
50〜51°F
いいえ
52~53°F
いいえ
54~55°F
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58〜59°F
はい
60〜61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
いいえ
66~67°F
いいえ
68°F以上
いいえ
58〜59°F 100.0%
49°F以下 1.0%
54~55°F 1.0%
50〜51°F <1%
$2,409 Vol.
$2,409 Vol.
49°F以下
いいえ
50〜51°F
いいえ
52~53°F
いいえ
54~55°F
いいえ
56〜57°F
いいえ
58〜59°F
はい
60〜61°F
いいえ
62〜63°F
いいえ
64〜65°F
いいえ
66~67°F
いいえ
68°F以上
いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official National Weather Service observations at San Francisco International Airport recorded a minimum temperature of 59°F on August 25, 2026, aligning precisely with the dominant 58-59°F market bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and onshore flow maintained typical late-summer nocturnal cooling without the stronger radiational or offshore-wind conditions that historically produce sub-55°F readings. Model guidance and local climatology had already converged on lows in the upper 50s, and post-event verification eliminated remaining uncertainty, driving near-certain trader consensus. Only minor station-to-station variance or measurement timing differences could theoretically shift resolution, but authoritative data sources render such scenarios improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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