Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to a daily minimum near 11–12°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus remains closely split because small shifts in steering patterns—such as a stronger southerly change—could advect colder Antarctic air masses, while clearer skies under high pressure would enhance surface cooling and push readings toward single digits. NIWA’s seasonal outlook favors near-average temperatures overall, yet late-winter variability in wind direction and cloud cover keeps the 8°C-or-below and 12–13°C bands nearly even. Fresh model runs and updated MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the minimum settles near climatological norms or trends cooler.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月26日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
8月26日のウェリントンの最低気温は？
8℃以下 69%
10°C 42%
14℃ 42%
18°C以上 41%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
8℃以下
69%
9°C
19%
10°C
42%
11°C
26%
12°C
31%
13°C
29%
14℃
42%
15℃
8%
16°C
1%
17℃
7%
18°C以上
41%
8℃以下 69%
10°C 42%
14℃ 42%
18°C以上 41%
新規
新規
2026/08/26
8℃以下
$0 Vol.
69%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
42%
11°C
$0 Vol.
26%
12°C
$0 Vol.
31%
13°C
$0 Vol.
29%
14℃
$0 Vol.
42%
15℃
$0 Vol.
8%
16°C
$0 Vol.
1%
17℃
$0 Vol.
7%
18°C以上
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to a daily minimum near 11–12°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus remains closely split because small shifts in steering patterns—such as a stronger southerly change—could advect colder Antarctic air masses, while clearer skies under high pressure would enhance surface cooling and push readings toward single digits. NIWA’s seasonal outlook favors near-average temperatures overall, yet late-winter variability in wind direction and cloud cover keeps the 8°C-or-below and 12–13°C bands nearly even. Fresh model runs and updated MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the minimum settles near climatological norms or trends cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to a daily minimum near 11–12°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus remains closely split because small shifts in steering patterns—such as a stronger southerly change—could advect colder Antarctic air masses, while clearer skies under high pressure would enhance surface cooling and push readings toward single digits. NIWA’s seasonal outlook favors near-average temperatures overall, yet late-winter variability in wind direction and cloud cover keeps the 8°C-or-below and 12–13°C bands nearly even. Fresh model runs and updated MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the minimum settles near climatological norms or trends cooler.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/08/26マーケット開始日
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETCurrent forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to a daily minimum near 11–12°C for Wellington on August 26, supported by northwesterly flow and partly cloudy conditions that limit overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus remains closely split because small shifts in steering patterns—such as a stronger southerly change—could advect colder Antarctic air masses, while clearer skies under high pressure would enhance surface cooling and push readings toward single digits. NIWA’s seasonal outlook favors near-average temperatures overall, yet late-winter variability in wind direction and cloud cover keeps the 8°C-or-below and 12–13°C bands nearly even. Fresh model runs and updated MetService guidance over the next 48 hours will clarify whether the minimum settles near climatological norms or trends cooler.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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