Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a highest temperature in London on August 31 most likely in the 20–22°C range amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover under a moderate westerly flow. This setup limits solar heating and daytime warming compared to clearer conditions, keeping values near late-August climatological normals. Trader consensus clustering on 20–21°C reflects the narrow spread in deterministic and ensemble runs, with minor model differences in shower timing and cloud breaks determining whether the daily maximum edges toward 22°C or holds lower. Updated high-resolution forecasts and observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のロンドンの最高気温は?
22°C 33%
23°C 32%
21°C 20%
19°C 15%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
15%
20°C
13%
21°C
20%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 33%
23°C 32%
21°C 20%
19°C 15%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
15%
20°C
13%
21°C
20%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance indicate a highest temperature in London on August 31 most likely in the 20–22°C range amid scattered showers and variable cloud cover under a moderate westerly flow. This setup limits solar heating and daytime warming compared to clearer conditions, keeping values near late-August climatological normals. Trader consensus clustering on 20–21°C reflects the narrow spread in deterministic and ensemble runs, with minor model differences in shower timing and cloud breaks determining whether the daily maximum edges toward 22°C or holds lower. Updated high-resolution forecasts and observations over the next 48 hours will refine the outcome before market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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