Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 30 indicates a daytime maximum of 23 °C under a mix of cloud and sunny intervals, with light southwesterly winds and only limited shower risk, supporting the near-even market split between 23 °C and 22 °C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this value, as variable cloud cover and timing of any residual Atlantic moisture can suppress peak solar heating by 1–2 °C or allow brief clear spells to push readings marginally higher. Historical late-August baselines near 21–22 °C provide context, but current steering patterns favor slightly above-normal warmth absent stronger frontal activity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のロンドンの最高気温は?
23°C 39%
22°C 37%
24°C 11%
21°C 9%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
37%
23°C
39%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 39%
22°C 37%
24°C 11%
21°C 9%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
9%
22°C
37%
23°C
39%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office guidance for London on August 30 indicates a daytime maximum of 23 °C under a mix of cloud and sunny intervals, with light southwesterly winds and only limited shower risk, supporting the near-even market split between 23 °C and 22 °C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread around this value, as variable cloud cover and timing of any residual Atlantic moisture can suppress peak solar heating by 1–2 °C or allow brief clear spells to push readings marginally higher. Historical late-August baselines near 21–22 °C provide context, but current steering patterns favor slightly above-normal warmth absent stronger frontal activity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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