Recent Met Office and other model guidance indicate London will see overnight lows of 15–17°C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and mild southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling. High dew points near 15–17°C and elevated humidity further suppress temperature drops, keeping the minimum close to the seasonal average of roughly 14–15°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% and 41.5% shares on 18°C and 17°C aligns with this consensus forecast range, while probabilities below 16°C remain low given the absence of clear skies or northerly flow that would allow sharper cooling. Updated observations through the night and any late revisions to steering patterns will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月29日のロンドンの最低気温は?
16°C 1.9%
14°C <1%
12℃以下 <1%
13℃ <1%
$9,017 Vol.
$9,017 Vol.
12℃以下
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
37%
18℃
62%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
16°C 1.9%
14°C <1%
12℃以下 <1%
13℃ <1%
$9,017 Vol.
$9,017 Vol.
12℃以下
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
<1%
15℃
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
37%
18℃
62%
19℃
<1%
20℃
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and other model guidance indicate London will see overnight lows of 15–17°C under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and mild southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling. High dew points near 15–17°C and elevated humidity further suppress temperature drops, keeping the minimum close to the seasonal average of roughly 14–15°C. Trader consensus reflected in the 61% and 41.5% shares on 18°C and 17°C aligns with this consensus forecast range, while probabilities below 16°C remain low given the absence of clear skies or northerly flow that would allow sharper cooling. Updated observations through the night and any late revisions to steering patterns will determine final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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