**Forecast models and climatological context point to a nighttime low near 25°C for Panama City on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's narrow edge for that outcome.** In Panama's tropical wet season, persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures close to the September historical average of 24°C. Recent official guidance and model runs from sources such as the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá indicate a low of 25–26°C, with dew points remaining high (near 24–25°C) and light winds reducing mixing. The tight clustering of probabilities around 22–29°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact timing of any evening convection and subtle variations in cloud thickness across ensemble members, rather than any strong directional signal. Lower outcomes below 22°C remain improbable given the current warm, moist boundary layer and lack of atypical cooling mechanisms. Updated model guidance on the morning of September 2 will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のパナマシティの最低気温は?
22°C 99%
23°C 99%
24°C 99%
26°C 99%
19°C以下
9%
20℃
17%
21°C
28%
22°C
99%
23°C
99%
24°C
99%
25℃
51%
26°C
99%
27℃
99%
28°C
99%
29°C以上
-
22°C 99%
23°C 99%
24°C 99%
26°C 99%
19°C以下
9%
20℃
17%
21°C
28%
22°C
99%
23°C
99%
24°C
99%
25℃
51%
26°C
99%
27℃
99%
28°C
99%
29°C以上
-
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models and climatological context point to a nighttime low near 25°C for Panama City on September 2, 2026, aligning with the market's narrow edge for that outcome.** In Panama's tropical wet season, persistent cloud cover and scattered showers limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping minimum temperatures close to the September historical average of 24°C. Recent official guidance and model runs from sources such as the Instituto de Meteorología e Hidrología de Panamá indicate a low of 25–26°C, with dew points remaining high (near 24–25°C) and light winds reducing mixing. The tight clustering of probabilities around 22–29°C reflects genuine uncertainty in exact timing of any evening convection and subtle variations in cloud thickness across ensemble members, rather than any strong directional signal. Lower outcomes below 22°C remain improbable given the current warm, moist boundary layer and lack of atypical cooling mechanisms. Updated model guidance on the morning of September 2 will be the key near-term driver for any shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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