Recent ensemble forecasts for Toronto on September 3 show model spread centered near 27–28 °C, with GFS and similar runs supporting modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Environment Canada guidance currently favors a 26 °C high amid a 30 % shower chance that could suppress peak insolation, while historical climatology places the September 3 average at 24.2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the balance between clearing skies allowing greater diurnal rise versus lingering moisture or thicker cloud decks that would keep readings closer to guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the tightly clustered 27–29 °C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月3日のトロントの最高気温は？
9月3日のトロントの最高気温は？
28°C 41%
27°C 33%
29℃ 18%
26℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
23℃以下
2%
24℃
2%
25℃
2%
26℃
9%
27°C
33%
28°C
41%
29℃
18%
30°C
4%
31℃
4%
32°C
2%
33℃以上
2%
28°C 41%
27°C 33%
29℃ 18%
26℃ 9%
新規
新規
2026/09/03
23℃以下
$55 Vol.
2%
24℃
$15 Vol.
2%
25℃
$20 Vol.
2%
26℃
$20 Vol.
9%
27°C
$139 Vol.
33%
28°C
$124 Vol.
41%
29℃
$140 Vol.
18%
30°C
$59 Vol.
4%
31℃
$10 Vol.
4%
32°C
$10 Vol.
2%
33℃以上
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Toronto on September 3 show model spread centered near 27–28 °C, with GFS and similar runs supporting modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Environment Canada guidance currently favors a 26 °C high amid a 30 % shower chance that could suppress peak insolation, while historical climatology places the September 3 average at 24.2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the balance between clearing skies allowing greater diurnal rise versus lingering moisture or thicker cloud decks that would keep readings closer to guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the tightly clustered 27–29 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
音量
$601終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts for Toronto on September 3 show model spread centered near 27–28 °C, with GFS and similar runs supporting modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Environment Canada guidance currently favors a 26 °C high amid a 30 % shower chance that could suppress peak insolation, while historical climatology places the September 3 average at 24.2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the balance between clearing skies allowing greater diurnal rise versus lingering moisture or thicker cloud decks that would keep readings closer to guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the tightly clustered 27–29 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$601終了日
2026/09/03マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:55 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts for Toronto on September 3 show model spread centered near 27–28 °C, with GFS and similar runs supporting modest afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow. Environment Canada guidance currently favors a 26 °C high amid a 30 % shower chance that could suppress peak insolation, while historical climatology places the September 3 average at 24.2 °C. Traders therefore weigh the balance between clearing skies allowing greater diurnal rise versus lingering moisture or thicker cloud decks that would keep readings closer to guidance. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities among the tightly clustered 27–29 °C outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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