Northwesterly winds and mild spring conditions are positioning 16°C as the leading outcome for Wellington’s highest temperature on September 2, with market-implied odds at 68%. Official forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and global models converge on daytime maxima of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and gusty northwest flow, consistent with early-September climatology of 13–15°C highs. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold front or southerly change expected before evening, supporting the 17°C (18.5%) and 15°C (12%) options as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance closer to the 24-hour window will refine exact peaks, though current consensus favors the upper end of the mild range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
9月2日のウェリントンの最高気温は？
16°C 69%
17°C 19%
15°C 12%
18°C 4%
新規
$20,617 Vol.
新規
$20,617 Vol.
2026/09/02
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
12%
16°C
69%
17°C
19%
18°C
4%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 69%
17°C 19%
15°C 12%
18°C 4%
新規
$20,617 Vol.
新規
$20,617 Vol.
2026/09/02
10°C or below
$315 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$375 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$407 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$987 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,585 Vol.
1%
15°C
$6,610 Vol.
12%
16°C
$4,754 Vol.
69%
17°C
$2,721 Vol.
19%
18°C
$1,668 Vol.
4%
19°C
$973 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$222 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds and mild spring conditions are positioning 16°C as the leading outcome for Wellington’s highest temperature on September 2, with market-implied odds at 68%. Official forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and global models converge on daytime maxima of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and gusty northwest flow, consistent with early-September climatology of 13–15°C highs. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold front or southerly change expected before evening, supporting the 17°C (18.5%) and 15°C (12%) options as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance closer to the 24-hour window will refine exact peaks, though current consensus favors the upper end of the mild range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$20,617終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Northwesterly winds and mild spring conditions are positioning 16°C as the leading outcome for Wellington’s highest temperature on September 2, with market-implied odds at 68%. Official forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and global models converge on daytime maxima of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and gusty northwest flow, consistent with early-September climatology of 13–15°C highs. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold front or southerly change expected before evening, supporting the 17°C (18.5%) and 15°C (12%) options as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance closer to the 24-hour window will refine exact peaks, though current consensus favors the upper end of the mild range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$20,617終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNorthwesterly winds and mild spring conditions are positioning 16°C as the leading outcome for Wellington’s highest temperature on September 2, with market-implied odds at 68%. Official forecasts from MetService, Met Office, and global models converge on daytime maxima of 14–15°C under partly cloudy skies and gusty northwest flow, consistent with early-September climatology of 13–15°C highs. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no strong cold front or southerly change expected before evening, supporting the 17°C (18.5%) and 15°C (12%) options as secondary possibilities. Updated guidance closer to the 24-hour window will refine exact peaks, though current consensus favors the upper end of the mild range.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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