Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's September 1 maximum temperature in the 30–32 °C range, driven by lingering subtropical warmth, southeasterly flow, and afternoon insolation before increased cloud cover and rain chances arrive. Model runs show highs near 31 °C as the most probable outcome, consistent with late-August observations around 31–32 °C and typical early-September climatology. The 30 °C and 31 °C bins dominate trader positioning because they align with this consensus while accounting for uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given current steering patterns and lack of strong anomalous signals. Updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の上海の最高気温は？
9月1日の上海の最高気温は？
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
16%
30°C
45%
31°C
32%
32°C
6%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 45%
31°C 32%
29°C 16%
32°C 6%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
25°C or below
$366 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$262 Vol.
1%
27°C
$342 Vol.
1%
28°C
$116 Vol.
4%
29°C
$260 Vol.
16%
30°C
$236 Vol.
45%
31°C
$190 Vol.
32%
32°C
$247 Vol.
6%
33°C
$20 Vol.
3%
34°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$214 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's September 1 maximum temperature in the 30–32 °C range, driven by lingering subtropical warmth, southeasterly flow, and afternoon insolation before increased cloud cover and rain chances arrive. Model runs show highs near 31 °C as the most probable outcome, consistent with late-August observations around 31–32 °C and typical early-September climatology. The 30 °C and 31 °C bins dominate trader positioning because they align with this consensus while accounting for uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given current steering patterns and lack of strong anomalous signals. Updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$2,253終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's September 1 maximum temperature in the 30–32 °C range, driven by lingering subtropical warmth, southeasterly flow, and afternoon insolation before increased cloud cover and rain chances arrive. Model runs show highs near 31 °C as the most probable outcome, consistent with late-August observations around 31–32 °C and typical early-September climatology. The 30 °C and 31 °C bins dominate trader positioning because they align with this consensus while accounting for uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given current steering patterns and lack of strong anomalous signals. Updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,253終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from multiple meteorological sources project Shanghai's September 1 maximum temperature in the 30–32 °C range, driven by lingering subtropical warmth, southeasterly flow, and afternoon insolation before increased cloud cover and rain chances arrive. Model runs show highs near 31 °C as the most probable outcome, consistent with late-August observations around 31–32 °C and typical early-September climatology. The 30 °C and 31 °C bins dominate trader positioning because they align with this consensus while accounting for uncertainty from variable precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing; higher or lower extremes remain low-probability given current steering patterns and lack of strong anomalous signals. Updated model guidance over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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