Recent European weather model consensus, including runs supporting forecasts around 25–27°C, has positioned 27°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s daily maximum on August 30 by indicating partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation that favor modest warming above the 22.6°C climatological average. Current observations from late August show a transition from cooler, unsettled conditions earlier in the week toward more stable high-pressure influence, limiting extreme heat or rapid cooling. Ensemble guidance highlights low uncertainty in the upper 20s°C range, with only modest model spread that keeps 28°C and 26°C as secondary contenders while rendering 29°C or higher highly improbable under present steering patterns and surface conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のミュンヘンの最高気温は?
27°C 47%
28°C 26%
26°C 22%
25°C 6%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
22%
27°C
47%
28°C
26%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 47%
28°C 26%
26°C 22%
25°C 6%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
6%
26°C
22%
27°C
47%
28°C
26%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent European weather model consensus, including runs supporting forecasts around 25–27°C, has positioned 27°C as the leading outcome for Munich’s daily maximum on August 30 by indicating partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation that favor modest warming above the 22.6°C climatological average. Current observations from late August show a transition from cooler, unsettled conditions earlier in the week toward more stable high-pressure influence, limiting extreme heat or rapid cooling. Ensemble guidance highlights low uncertainty in the upper 20s°C range, with only modest model spread that keeps 28°C and 26°C as secondary contenders while rendering 29°C or higher highly improbable under present steering patterns and surface conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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