Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a cooling trend for Los Angeles as the marine layer strengthens over the weekend, with areas of low clouds and fog expected overnight into August 30. This typically suppresses nighttime temperatures along the coast and valleys, supporting implied probabilities concentrated in the mid-60s (e.g., 64-67°F outcomes near 26-27%) as the most likely range given historical August averages around 65°F and current model consensus. The elevated 40.5% on 59°F or below reflects trader focus on potential for enhanced marine cooling or localized variability, while higher bins (70°F+) carry lower odds amid the post-heat-wave moderation and expected dew points near 60°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のロサンゼルスの最低気温は？
8月30日のロサンゼルスの最低気温は？
59°F以下 81%
78°F以上 38%
64～65°F 26%
66〜67°F 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
59°F以下
81%
60～61°F
16%
62〜63°F
24%
64～65°F
26%
66〜67°F
26%
68～69°F
26%
70〜71°F
28%
72〜73°F
26%
74～75°F
11%
76〜77°F
20%
78°F以上
38%
59°F以下 81%
78°F以上 38%
64～65°F 26%
66〜67°F 26%
新規
新規
2026/08/30
59°F以下
$109 Vol.
81%
60～61°F
$117 Vol.
16%
62〜63°F
$28 Vol.
24%
64～65°F
$0 Vol.
26%
66〜67°F
$0 Vol.
26%
68～69°F
$0 Vol.
26%
70〜71°F
$16 Vol.
28%
72〜73°F
$0 Vol.
26%
74～75°F
$0 Vol.
11%
76〜77°F
$130 Vol.
20%
78°F以上
$130 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a cooling trend for Los Angeles as the marine layer strengthens over the weekend, with areas of low clouds and fog expected overnight into August 30. This typically suppresses nighttime temperatures along the coast and valleys, supporting implied probabilities concentrated in the mid-60s (e.g., 64-67°F outcomes near 26-27%) as the most likely range given historical August averages around 65°F and current model consensus. The elevated 40.5% on 59°F or below reflects trader focus on potential for enhanced marine cooling or localized variability, while higher bins (70°F+) carry lower odds amid the post-heat-wave moderation and expected dew points near 60°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$530終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a cooling trend for Los Angeles as the marine layer strengthens over the weekend, with areas of low clouds and fog expected overnight into August 30. This typically suppresses nighttime temperatures along the coast and valleys, supporting implied probabilities concentrated in the mid-60s (e.g., 64-67°F outcomes near 26-27%) as the most likely range given historical August averages around 65°F and current model consensus. The elevated 40.5% on 59°F or below reflects trader focus on potential for enhanced marine cooling or localized variability, while higher bins (70°F+) carry lower odds amid the post-heat-wave moderation and expected dew points near 60°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$530終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate a cooling trend for Los Angeles as the marine layer strengthens over the weekend, with areas of low clouds and fog expected overnight into August 30. This typically suppresses nighttime temperatures along the coast and valleys, supporting implied probabilities concentrated in the mid-60s (e.g., 64-67°F outcomes near 26-27%) as the most likely range given historical August averages around 65°F and current model consensus. The elevated 40.5% on 59°F or below reflects trader focus on potential for enhanced marine cooling or localized variability, while higher bins (70°F+) carry lower odds amid the post-heat-wave moderation and expected dew points near 60°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問