Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Hong Kong's September 1 high will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northerly flow around 20–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce genuine uncertainty in the daily maximum, as even modest changes in insolation or wind shifts can alter peak readings by 1°C on the Hong Kong Observatory scale. This near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects traders weighing ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages near 30°C, with lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 28°C or below hinging on rapid clearing or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours before resolution will likely refine these narrow margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の香港の最高気温は?
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
31°C 14%
28°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
37%
30°C
35%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 35%
31°C 14%
28°C 11%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
11%
29°C
37%
30°C
35%
31°C
14%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Hong Kong's September 1 high will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northerly flow around 20–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce genuine uncertainty in the daily maximum, as even modest changes in insolation or wind shifts can alter peak readings by 1°C on the Hong Kong Observatory scale. This near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects traders weighing ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages near 30°C, with lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 28°C or below hinging on rapid clearing or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours before resolution will likely refine these narrow margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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