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icon for 9月1日の香港の最高気温は?

9月1日の香港の最高気温は?

icon for 9月1日の香港の最高気温は?

9月1日の香港の最高気温は?

29°C 37%

30°C 35%

31°C 14%

28°C 11%

Polymarket
新規

29°C 37%

30°C 35%

31°C 14%

28°C 11%

Polymarket
新規

25°C or below

$110 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$120 Vol.

<1%

27°C

$594 Vol.

2%

28°C

$460 Vol.

11%

29°C

$988 Vol.

37%

30°C

$1,274 Vol.

35%

31°C

$710 Vol.

14%

32°C

$477 Vol.

5%

33°C

$553 Vol.

2%

34°C

$338 Vol.

<1%

35°C or higher

$219 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Hong Kong's September 1 high will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northerly flow around 20–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce genuine uncertainty in the daily maximum, as even modest changes in insolation or wind shifts can alter peak readings by 1°C on the Hong Kong Observatory scale. This near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects traders weighing ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages near 30°C, with lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 28°C or below hinging on rapid clearing or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours before resolution will likely refine these narrow margins.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,843
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Hong Kong's September 1 high will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northerly flow around 20–25 km/h. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce genuine uncertainty in the daily maximum, as even modest changes in insolation or wind shifts can alter peak readings by 1°C on the Hong Kong Observatory scale. This near-even split between the two leading outcomes reflects traders weighing ensemble guidance against historical early-September averages near 30°C, with lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 28°C or below hinging on rapid clearing or heavier rain bands. Updated model runs and official briefings in the final hours before resolution will likely refine these narrow margins.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,843
終了日
2026/09/01
マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「9月1日の香港の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「29°C」で37%、次いで「30°C」が35%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、37¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に37%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「9月1日の香港の最高気温は?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 30, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「9月1日の香港の最高気温は?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「9月1日の香港の最高気温は?」の現在のフロントランナーは「29°C」で37%であり、市場がこの結果に37%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「30°C」で35%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「9月1日の香港の最高気温は?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。