Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models like those aggregated by Yr.no and Foreca indicate a likely peak near 19–20°C on September 2, driven by mild southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover over southern Finland. This aligns with historical early-September averages around 17–18°C while reflecting short-term warming from Atlantic air masses. Trader consensus on the 19–21°C range stems from typical 1–2°C spreads in ensemble runs, where small differences in timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or minor frontal influences can shift the daily maximum. With low precipitation odds and stable pressure, resolution hinges on official observations at Helsinki stations, keeping probabilities tightly clustered amid normal forecast uncertainty this far ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のヘルシンキの最高気温は?
20℃ 33%
21°C 32%
19°C 27%
22℃ 11%
14°C以下
1%
15℃
1%
16°C
5%
17℃
3%
18℃
4%
19°C
27%
20℃
33%
21°C
32%
22℃
11%
23℃
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
20℃ 33%
21°C 32%
19°C 27%
22℃ 11%
14°C以下
1%
15℃
1%
16°C
5%
17℃
3%
18℃
4%
19°C
27%
20℃
33%
21°C
32%
22℃
11%
23℃
<1%
24℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and models like those aggregated by Yr.no and Foreca indicate a likely peak near 19–20°C on September 2, driven by mild southwesterly flow and limited cloud cover over southern Finland. This aligns with historical early-September averages around 17–18°C while reflecting short-term warming from Atlantic air masses. Trader consensus on the 19–21°C range stems from typical 1–2°C spreads in ensemble runs, where small differences in timing of peak insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or minor frontal influences can shift the daily maximum. With low precipitation odds and stable pressure, resolution hinges on official observations at Helsinki stations, keeping probabilities tightly clustered amid normal forecast uncertainty this far ahead.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問