**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 2, 2026, call for a high near 89°F under mostly sunny skies with a 50-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing after midday.** Afternoon convection, driven by typical late-summer instability, sea-breeze convergence, and high boundary-layer moisture, frequently caps daytime maxima in South Florida by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F (59%) and 88-89°F (21%), as models and climatology place the most probable outcome in the upper 80s to low 90s. September 2 averages roughly 90°F historically, but the current pattern—moderate easterly flow, heat indices near 105-108°F from humidity rather than extreme air temperatures, and no anomalous ridge—supports values clustered around 89-90°F. Lower-probability tails (92°F+) would require suppressed convection or stronger subsidence, while sub-88°F readings remain unlikely absent widespread early-day rain. Traders appear to be pricing the NWS consensus and ensemble guidance that shows limited day-to-day variability, with the resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のマイアミの最高気温は？
9月2日のマイアミの最高気温は？
90〜91°F 53%
88〜89°F 31%
92〜93°F 12%
86～87°F 5%
$38,288 Vol.
$38,288 Vol.
2026/09/02
81°F以下
<1%
82〜83°F
<1%
84～85°F
<1%
86～87°F
5%
88〜89°F
31%
90〜91°F
53%
92〜93°F
12%
94〜95°F
2%
96〜97°F
<1%
98～99°F
<1%
華氏100度以上
<1%
90〜91°F 53%
88〜89°F 31%
92〜93°F 12%
86～87°F 5%
$38,288 Vol.
$38,288 Vol.
2026/09/02
81°F以下
$4,379 Vol.
<1%
82〜83°F
$2,641 Vol.
<1%
84～85°F
$2,346 Vol.
<1%
86～87°F
$3,913 Vol.
5%
88〜89°F
$7,554 Vol.
31%
90〜91°F
$3,790 Vol.
53%
92〜93°F
$7,519 Vol.
12%
94〜95°F
$3,393 Vol.
2%
96〜97°F
$1,106 Vol.
<1%
98～99°F
$1,162 Vol.
<1%
華氏100度以上
$485 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 2, 2026, call for a high near 89°F under mostly sunny skies with a 50-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing after midday.** Afternoon convection, driven by typical late-summer instability, sea-breeze convergence, and high boundary-layer moisture, frequently caps daytime maxima in South Florida by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling.
This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F (59%) and 88-89°F (21%), as models and climatology place the most probable outcome in the upper 80s to low 90s. September 2 averages roughly 90°F historically, but the current pattern—moderate easterly flow, heat indices near 105-108°F from humidity rather than extreme air temperatures, and no anomalous ridge—supports values clustered around 89-90°F. Lower-probability tails (92°F+) would require suppressed convection or stronger subsidence, while sub-88°F readings remain unlikely absent widespread early-day rain.
Traders appear to be pricing the NWS consensus and ensemble guidance that shows limited day-to-day variability, with the resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
音量
$38,288終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 2, 2026, call for a high near 89°F under mostly sunny skies with a 50-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing after midday.** Afternoon convection, driven by typical late-summer instability, sea-breeze convergence, and high boundary-layer moisture, frequently caps daytime maxima in South Florida by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling.
This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F (59%) and 88-89°F (21%), as models and climatology place the most probable outcome in the upper 80s to low 90s. September 2 averages roughly 90°F historically, but the current pattern—moderate easterly flow, heat indices near 105-108°F from humidity rather than extreme air temperatures, and no anomalous ridge—supports values clustered around 89-90°F. Lower-probability tails (92°F+) would require suppressed convection or stronger subsidence, while sub-88°F readings remain unlikely absent widespread early-day rain.
Traders appear to be pricing the NWS consensus and ensemble guidance that shows limited day-to-day variability, with the resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$38,288終了日
2026/09/02マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 2:56 AM ET**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 2, 2026, call for a high near 89°F under mostly sunny skies with a 50-70% chance of showers and thunderstorms developing after midday.** Afternoon convection, driven by typical late-summer instability, sea-breeze convergence, and high boundary-layer moisture, frequently caps daytime maxima in South Florida by enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90-91°F (59%) and 88-89°F (21%), as models and climatology place the most probable outcome in the upper 80s to low 90s. September 2 averages roughly 90°F historically, but the current pattern—moderate easterly flow, heat indices near 105-108°F from humidity rather than extreme air temperatures, and no anomalous ridge—supports values clustered around 89-90°F. Lower-probability tails (92°F+) would require suppressed convection or stronger subsidence, while sub-88°F readings remain unlikely absent widespread early-day rain. Traders appear to be pricing the NWS consensus and ensemble guidance that shows limited day-to-day variability, with the resolution hinging on the official daily maximum recorded at Miami International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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