Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月4日のメキシコシティの最低気温は？
9月4日のメキシコシティの最低気温は？
12°C 100%
7℃以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9℃ <1%
$5,493 Vol.
$5,493 Vol.
2026/09/04
7℃以下
いいえ
8°C
いいえ
9℃
いいえ
10°C
いいえ
11℃
いいえ
12°C
はい
13°C
いいえ
14℃
いいえ
15℃
いいえ
16℃
いいえ
17℃以上
いいえ
12°C 100%
7℃以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9℃ <1%
$5,493 Vol.
$5,493 Vol.
2026/09/04
7℃以下
$122 Vol.
いいえ
8°C
$161 Vol.
いいえ
9℃
$239 Vol.
いいえ
10°C
$228 Vol.
いいえ
11℃
$74 Vol.
いいえ
12°C
$4,086 Vol.
はい
13°C
$84 Vol.
いいえ
14℃
$89 Vol.
いいえ
15℃
$124 Vol.
いいえ
16℃
$179 Vol.
いいえ
17℃以上
$107 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
音量
$5,493終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$5,493終了日
2026/09/04マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Recent observational data and forecast models from agencies like Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate Mexico City's September 4 overnight low settled near 12–13°C amid typical high-elevation radiative cooling at roughly 2,240 meters, moderate cloud cover limiting further drops, and light winds reducing mixing. September climatology shows average minima around 10°C with frequent 12–14°C readings during the rainy season transition, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 12°C. The notable share for 7°C or below reflects residual uncertainty in localized urban heat island effects versus clear-sky episodes or model spread in temperature inversions. Updated surface observations and station reports will resolve the exact threshold once fully processed.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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