Recent meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 2, 2026, from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models, indicate daytime highs near 31–32°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, when maximum temperatures typically range 30–31°C based on long-term observations. The market's heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects trader assessment of slight upward model bias in some runs, while the 32°C share captures consensus around seasonal baselines. Low probabilities for extremes underscore limited variability expected before any late-day cooling or measurement adjustments from official stations. Updated model guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine these implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月2日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
33°C 66%
32°C 31%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
$13,498 Vol.
$13,498 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
31%
33°C
66%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 66%
32°C 31%
34°C <1%
31°C <1%
$13,498 Vol.
$13,498 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
31%
33°C
66%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on September 2, 2026, from sources including the Israel Meteorological Service and international models, indicate daytime highs near 31–32°C under stable high-pressure conditions, light northwest winds, and clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, when maximum temperatures typically range 30–31°C based on long-term observations. The market's heavy weighting toward 33°C reflects trader assessment of slight upward model bias in some runs, while the 32°C share captures consensus around seasonal baselines. Low probabilities for extremes underscore limited variability expected before any late-day cooling or measurement adjustments from official stations. Updated model guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will likely refine these implied odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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