Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for Tel Aviv on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and high pressure. This value sits slightly above the early-September climatological average of 29–30°C yet remains well within normal variability for the region, with dew points in the low 20s supporting efficient daytime heating without significant moisture feedback. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 31–33°C, limiting upside risk for 34°C or higher while rendering sub-31°C outcomes unlikely absent rapid cooling or measurement discrepancies at official stations. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 32°C as the most probable recorded high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
32°C 83%
33°C 13%
31°C 1.4%
34°C 1.1%
$23,746 Vol.
$23,746 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
83%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 83%
33°C 13%
31°C 1.4%
34°C 1.1%
$23,746 Vol.
$23,746 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
83%
33°C
13%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a daily maximum near 32°C for Tel Aviv on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and high pressure. This value sits slightly above the early-September climatological average of 29–30°C yet remains well within normal variability for the region, with dew points in the low 20s supporting efficient daytime heating without significant moisture feedback. Recent model runs show tight clustering around 31–33°C, limiting upside risk for 34°C or higher while rendering sub-31°C outcomes unlikely absent rapid cooling or measurement discrepancies at official stations. Traders have therefore concentrated probability on 32°C as the most probable recorded high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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